Dear Editor,
Region 4 – Of all the PPP/C’s regional campaigns, Region 4 was the most successful in growing its support, especially among Guyanese of Mixed and African ancestries. This was where the direct and daily leadership of President Irfaan Ali and General Secretary Bharrat Jagdeo won over influential Guyanese of diverse ethnic ancestries to publicly campaign for the PPP/C – leaders like James Bond, Leo-nard Craig, Thandi McAllister, Jermaine Figueira, Lenox Shuman, Samuel Sandy, Alfonso De Armas, Malcolm Ferreira, Steven Jacobs, Kofi Dalrymple, Mischka White and many more.
Of the 180,792 valid votes cast in Region 4, the estimated percentages of the four largest Guyanese ethnic ancestries were 40% African ancestry, 32% Indian ancestry, 24% Mixed ancestry, and 4% Indigenous/Amerindian ancestry.
Despite the largest decrease in valid votes (21,285) among the ten regions, the PPP/C increased its votes by 6,616 from 80,920 in 2020 to 87,536 in 2025. It also achieved an impressive 8.38% increase in its share of all valid votes, from 40.42% in 2020 to 48.42%, consequently winning for the first time a plurality (the most votes by one party) in this region.
PPP/C votes increased substantially among Guyanese of Mixed, Indigenous/ Amerindian and African ancestries, moving from 19% of its total votes in 2020 to 36% in 2025.
By contrast, the votes for the ‘opposition’ parties decreased by 27,901 from 121,157 votes in 2020 [APNU/AFC 116,941 + seven small parties 4,216] to 93,256 votes [APNU/AFC/ALP/FGM 51,649 + WIN 41,607] in 2025 – a 23% decline! {See GECOM}
The APNU/AFC/ ALP/FGM parties got 65,292 less votes than what the APNU/AFC coalition got – declining from 116,941 in 2020 down to 51,649 in 2025. WIN got 41,607 votes which meant that it did not come even close to matching the 116,941 votes that the APNU/AFC coalition got in 2020.
An estimated 53,435 former APNU/AFC voters (mainly of African and Mixed ancestries) crossed over in 2025 – 39,540 to WIN, and 13,895 to the PPP/C. This meant that an estimated 11,857 APNU/AFC supporters did not go out and vote in 2025 – [65,292 decrease in APNU/ AFC votes minus 53,435 crossovers to WIN and the PPP/C = 11,857].
2031 National Elections in Region 4 – For the PPP/C to win at least 51% of the total votes, the party will have to maintain its 97% support among Indian ancestry voters, its 81% support among Indige-nous/Amerindian ancestry voters, and continue increasing the 40% of Mixed ancestry votes and the 11% of African ancestry votes that it got in 2025. These two ancestries will possibly comprise about 65% of all Region 4 valid votes in 2031.
Region 1 – Compared to 2020, valid votes increased by 3,214 – a 26.54% increase [See GECOM]. Guyanese of Indigenous/Amerindian and Mixed ancestries comprised an estimated 97.48% of the 15,325 valid votes.
The PPP/C won this region with 9,030 votes that included 1,028 more votes compared to the 8,002 votes it got in 2020 – a very good 12.85% increase. Most of the PPP/C’s increased support came from voters of Indigenous/Amerindian ancestry.
But, the PPP/C’s majority declined by 7.15% – from 66.07% in 2020 down to 58.92% in 2025. [See GECOM]
By contrast, the ‘opposition’ parties [WIN (5,716 votes) + APNU/AFC/ALP/FGM (579 votes] got a total of 6,295 votes which included 2,186 more votes compared to the 4,109 votes they got in 2020 [APNU/AFC (3,909) + three small parties (200)]. This was a very large 53% increase! [See GECOM] What happened?
Firstly, the PPP’s votes from Mixed ancestry voters decreased from an estimated 50% in 2020 to 37% in 2025. The WIN party got an estimated 57% of these voters. Secondly, an estimated 3,325 (58%) of WIN’s 5,716 votes crossed over from the APNU/AFC coalition who experienced a massive decline of 85% of the votes it got in 2020. Thirdly, WIN got an estimated 2,192 votes (68%) of the 3,214 increased valid votes, many of whom were first time voters.
2031 National Elections – The PPP/C will have to maintain or increase the estimated 70% support it got among voters of Indigenous/Amerindian ancestry in 2025, increase the estimated 43% support it got among voters of Mixed ancestry in 2025 back to at least the 50% it had in 2020, and continue to grow its 6% support among voters of African ancestry.
Region Two – Compared to 2020, valid votes increased by 330 – a 1.24% increase [See GECOM]. Guyanese of Indigenous/Amerindian and Mixed ancestries made up an estimated 46% of the 26,951 valid votes, while Guyanese of Indian and African ancestries made up an estimated 42% and 12% respectively.
Most importantly, although the PPP/C won this region, the party got 1,307 less votes (18,785 in 2020 compared to 17,478 in 2025)! In addition, the PPP/C majority declined by 5.71% from 70.56% in 2020 down to 64.85% in 2025. {See GECOM} What happened?
Compared to 2020, the PPP/C got an estimated 532 less Mixed ancestry votes, 511 less Indian ancestry votes, and 320 less Indigenous/Amerindian votes, while it got an estimated 40 more African ancestry votes and 16 more Portuguese, Chinese and European votes.
The importance of this decline for the PPP/C is that this region contributed 1,307 fewer votes in 2025 towards its national total of votes for seats in the National Assembly.
By contrast, the ‘opposition’ parties increased their support by 1,637 more votes – a 21% increase! In 2020, the ‘opposition’ parties got 7,836 votes [APNU/AFC (7,340) + the six small parties (496)], and in 2025 they got 9,473 votes (WIN 7,400 + APNU/AFC/ALP/FGM 2,073). {See GECOM}
Of WIN’s total votes, 5,240 votes (71%) were crossovers from APNU/AFC (the APNU/AFC/ALPFGM parties got 72% less votes than what the APNU/AFC coalition got in 2020).
Most significantly, WIN got 1,175 crossover votes (of Mixed, Indian and Indigenous/Amerindian ancestries) from the PPP/C! This was the region where WIN got the highest number of crossover votes from the PPP/C. WIN also got 464 crossover votes from the 2020 small Parties and 516 of the increased valid votes of Mixed and Indigenous/Amerindian ancestries.
2031 National Elections – The PPP/C will have to maintain its estimated 94% support among voters of Indian ancestry, increase its estimated 67% support among voters of Indigenous/Amerindian ancestry in 2025 back to at least the 76% it had in 2020, increase its estimated 43% support among voters of Mixed ancestry in 2025 back to at least the 53% it had in 2020, and continue growing its 6% support among voters of African ancestry.