Dear Editor,
For the sake of long-suffering Guyanese who have somehow managed to adjust to electricity supply problems since the mid-to-late seventies, one can only hope this US$2b Gas-to-Energy investment finally delivers on reliable and affordable electricity supply.
While there is said to be ‘no official, consolidated figure tracking the exact or ballpark amount spent on GPL since 1992’, conservative estimates, based on annual Budget allocations and emergency subventions, run into the billions of dollars.
As I blogged a couple of days ago, the contractual arrangement with Karpowership’s two vessels supplying electricity to GPL’s grid has already cost the government US$426m since April 2024. And while the contract was renewed in July for two more years for the vessel docked in Berbice, Guyanese are wondering if the two-year contract for the vessel docked at Meadowbank will be renewed in December given that the 300MW Gas-to-Energy power generation system should be fully up and running in early 2027.
We must remember, the whole idea behind the GtE project was about affordable and reliable electricity supply, and that purpose would be defeated for both Karpowership vessels to be retained beyond early 2027.
A secondary point is related to the agreement made in January 2025 for Siemens to become the manager and operator of Phase One of the GtE project. According to Stabroek News of January 25, 2025, that agreement covers a five-year operations period – with renewal options – and a 20-year turbine maintenance programme.[1] In effect, Siemens will likely be operating and managing the GtE project for a very long time, unless that O&M phase is transferred to GPL within a decade.
What I have not detected in the SN article of January 2025 or the article above is how the GtE plant will help slash electricity generation and consumption costs by 50%. If Siemens is the owner and manager, who exactly will be setting the final product price for Guyanese electricity consumers, or what will happen after Siemens’ 20-year run in Guyana comes to an end?
Under the sidelined Amaila Falls Hydro Project, there was a Build, Own, Operate, and Transfer (BOOT) clause in the 2012 agreement for Chinese company, China Railway First Group, to build, own and operate the power generation facility, recoup their investments (including generation and supply costs), and then transfer ownership and management to GPL. After the project’s rising costs caused a failure to launch in the Opposition-controlled National Assembly in July 2013, the PPP government made a second try in November 2021 with a Cabinet no-objection approval for Office of the Prime Minister to engage China Railway Group.
On November 2, 2021, Stabroek News reported, “China Railway deemed ‘most capable’ partner for Amalia Falls project,”[2] while Kaieteur News later had this related news caption, “Chinese contractors dominate bids for Amalia Falls Hydro,” (May 9, 2026).[3] Then on August 3, last, Guyana Office of Investment announced government was in the process of assembling a technical evaluation team to review proposals from international firms for the Amaila Falls Hydro Electricity Project.[4]
Throughout that ever evolving Amaila process since 2012, the goal always was to slash the electricity bill by 40%, but it became harder to believe when the original estimated project cost here ballooned from US$450m to over US$900m before a brick was laid. In the GtE case, the estimated project cost ballooned from US$478m to around U$2b and the project is not even completed. So, how can electricity costs be slashed in either scenarios when we are starting out with a construction bill that can easily rise four times the original estimated cost? Someone, somewhere has to pay for all cost overruns.
Fellow Guyanese, even if the PPP government meant well in both the Amaila Hydro project and this Gas-to-Energy project, it has to realize its checkered track record on ballooning project costs and poor quality workmanship do not allow it to keep blandly overpromising and brazenly underdelivering when it comes to cost benefits that should favour Guyanese. If anything, contractors and their government associates actually are the ones who come out of these deals smiling all the way to the bank.
Good luck to Guyanese with the Gas-to-Energy project because, one way or other, Guyanese will pay. As always.